Xasanova, Dildora (2024) SURXONDARYO VILOYATIDA ASOSIY TURDAGI CHORVACHILIK MAHSULOTLARI (TUXUM) YETISHTIRISH KO`RSATKICHLARINI ARIMA MODELLARI YORDAMIDA PROGNOZLASHTIRISH. CONFERENCE OF NATURAL AND APPLIED SCIENCES IN SCIENTIFIC INNOVATIVE RESEARCH; Vol. 1 No. 12 (2024): CONFERENCE OF NATURAL AND APPLIED SCIENCES IN SCIENTIFIC INNOVATIVE RESEARCH; 285-288.
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Abstract
Ushbu tezisda Surxondaryo viloyatida asosiy turdagi chorvachilik mahsulotlari, ya’ni tuxum, sut, go‘sht yetishtirish ko`rsatkichlarini ARIMA modellari yordamida prognozlashtirilgan. Dastlab ARIMA modeli haqida qisqacha ma`lumotlar berilgan va vaqtli qator statsionarligi tekshirilib, ARIMA(0,2,1) modeli tuzilgan. Modelning ahamiyatliligi MAPE bo‘yicha, parametrlari statistik ahamiyatliligi esa Kengaytirilgan Dikkey-Fuller testi bilan baholangan. Ba’zi mashhur modellar uchun ACF va PACF xossalari umumlashtirilgan. Qoldiqlar normal taqsimot qonuniga bo`ysunishi hamda ularda avtokorrelyatsiya mavjud emasligi o`rganilgan. Natijada 2028-yilga qadar prognoz qiymatlari ishlab chiqilgan.
| Item Type: | Article |
|---|---|
| Additional Information: | Imported from Conference of Natural and Applied Sciences in Scientific Innovative Research |
| SWORD Depositor: | Admin User |
| Depositing User: | Admin User |
| Date Deposited: | 26 Sep 2026 22:26 |
| Last Modified: | 26 Sep 2026 22:26 |
| URI: | https://universalpublishings.uz/id/eprint/12229 |
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